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MIDDLESEX WATER CO (MSEX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 was steady operationally: revenue rose modestly to $49.3M and diluted EPS was $0.60, both up slightly year over year as rate increases and customer growth offset weather-driven consumption weakness and higher variable production costs .
- Results missed S&P Global consensus: EPS $0.60 vs $0.67* and revenue $49.3M vs $51.3M*, primarily on lower consumption from unfavorable weather and higher production costs tied to water quality .
- Regulatory momentum is a clear catalyst: Delaware base rate settlement adds $5.5M annual revenues effective July 3 (9.5% ROE, 53.5% equity ratio) and NJ base rate filing seeks +$24.9M; DSIC/RESIC filings could add up to $11.4M through surcharges .
- Capital plan execution remains strong: $51M invested in H1 (55% of 2025 plan); dividend maintained at $0.34/share with a 52-year CAGR dividend increase track record .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Price and volume levers worked: Rate increases and customer growth supported Q2 revenue of $49.3M (+0.4% YoY) despite weather headwinds .
- Constructive regulation: Delaware settlement approved +$5.5M annual operating revenue, 9.5% allowed ROE, 53.5% equity ratio—supportive for forward cash flows .
- Execution on capex and resilience: $51M deployed in H1 (55% of $93M plan); management emphasized continuing prudent investments to ensure safe, reliable service. “The constructive outcome of the general rate case in Delaware supports our selective and sustainable growth pillar…” — CEO Nadine Leslie .
What Went Wrong
- Consumption and costs: Lower consumption from unfavorable weather and higher variable production costs from weather-driven lower water quality pressured the P&L .
- Operating expense inflation: Ops & maintenance, labor and depreciation drove OpEx up to $35.4M from $33.8M YoY in Q2 .
- Missed Street numbers: EPS $0.60 vs $0.67* and revenue $49.3M vs $51.3M*, suggesting estimates may need to reflect weather sensitivity and cost inflation in production .
Financial Results
Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus (Street):
- Revenue: $49.323M vs $51.345M consensus* (miss) .
- EPS: $0.60 vs $0.67 consensus* (miss).
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Margins and EBITDA (S&P Global):
YTD System Trends (context)
- H1 2025 revenue up ~$4.0M YoY: +$3.1M Middlesex system, +$1.2M Tidewater system; non-regulated -$0.4M. Drivers: rate increases, customer growth; offset: weather-driven lower consumption .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available; themes below are drawn from company press releases.
Management Commentary
- “The constructive outcome of the general rate case in Delaware supports our selective and sustainable growth pillar and the ability to continue making prudent investments in our Tidewater System to provide safe and reliable water utility service … at affordable rates.” — Nadine Leslie, Chair, President & CEO .
- On growth: “We are excited to welcome Ocean View residents as our customers… demonstrating our focus on selective and sustainable growth” .
- On infrastructure and resilience (NJBPU filing): Investments to modernize treatment plants, replace mains and hydrants, advance lead service line removal, and upgrade treatment methods and IT systems to strengthen resilience against climate risks and emerging contaminants .
Q&A Highlights
- No earnings call transcript available for Q2 2025; no Q&A to summarize. Company communications centered on the press release, regulatory filings, and the dividend declaration .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $0.60 vs $0.67* (miss); Revenue $49.3M vs $51.3M* (miss). Number of covering estimates: EPS 3; Revenue 3*.
- Implications: Street models likely need to reflect (1) weather-driven consumption volatility, (2) elevated variable production costs tied to water quality, and (3) timing of regulatory relief (DEPSC benefit mid-Q3; NJ outcome pending) .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Regulatory tailwinds are building: Delaware settlement starts in Q3, while NJ filings (base rate and DSIC/RESIC) could drive 2026 run-rate revenue upside upon approval .
- Core trends ex-weather remain constructive: Rate increases and customer growth continue to offset weather-related consumption and variable production cost pressure .
- 2025 capex tracking ahead of pace (55% in H1) supports forward rate base growth and underpins dividend stability and potential future increases .
- Near-term estimate resets likely: Q2 miss vs consensus suggests models should incorporate higher production costs and consumption variability; watch for sequential lift from DEPSC rates in Q3 .
- Dividend intact: $0.34 per quarter affirmed; 52 consecutive years of annual dividend increases demonstrate commitment to income investors .
- Watch the NJ docket timeline and DSIC/RESIC cadence; interim/step surcharges can smooth recovery of ongoing capex and mitigate inflationary cost pressures .
- Monitoring items: weather and water quality costs into H2, integration benefits from Ocean View, any traction on further customer growth or acquisitions .
Disclaimer on estimates and certain financial metrics: Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.